Gold vs US equity

GLD vs VTI historical comparison

Compare a physical gold fund against a total US market fund, including gold's distinct tax treatment.

Modeled result

From 2005 to 2025, GLD finished ahead of VTI before tax.

Change dates in Portfolio Backtest

Historical model

Growth of $10,000

2005-01-03 to 2025-12-31

Chart window

All history

Chart window

Pre-tax growth for GLD and VTI from 2005-01-03 to 2025-12-31. GLD ends at $92,122; VTI ends at $83,622.
HoldingEnding valueCAGRMax drawdown

GLD

Gold (GLD)

$92,12211.16%-45.56%

VTI

US total market (VTI)

$83,62210.65%-55.45%
  • GLD

    Gold (GLD)

    CAGR
    11.16%
    Max drawdown
    -45.56%
  • VTI

    US total market (VTI)

    CAGR
    10.65%
    Max drawdown
    -55.45%

Pre-tax results only. The collectibles rate on physical-gold fund gains is not included in this comparison.

Detailed metrics

HoldingPre-tax valuePre-tax CAGRMax drawdown

Gold (GLD)

GLD

$92,12211.16%-45.56%

US total market (VTI)

VTI

$83,62210.65%-55.45%

Assumptions

$10,000 lump sum; distributions reinvested; monthly rebalancing; 2005-01-03 to 2025-12-31.

FAQ

Why is gold taxed differently from stocks?

The tax code treats a fund that holds physical gold as a collectible. Long-term gains on collectibles can face a rate of up to 28%. That rate is higher than the normal long-term capital gains rate on stock funds.

Does GLD pay dividends?

No. GLD holds physical gold, which produces no income, so its entire return comes from the change in the gold price. There is no yearly dividend distribution to tax in a taxable account.

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